Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices, on the same probability
scale as the devigged sportsbook consensus. Each venue publishes its own
prices; the comparison across all three is the part nobody else shows, because
making it honestly means removing the bookmaker’s margin first.
Only venues that run their own order book get a price
column. Coinbase and Robinhood sell these same contracts but route to an
exchange rather than making a market, so their prices are that
exchange’s — they are listed as places to trade, not as separate
opinions.
| Contract | Mid | Bid | Ask | Spread | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Chargers Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 0.10% | $4.8M |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.10% | $3.9M |
| Carolina Panthers Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.10% | $3.7M |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the Chicago Bears next? | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.70% | $2.2M |
| Minnesota Vikings Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 1.90% | $1.9M |
| New York Jets Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.10% | $1.9M |
| Houston Texans Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 0.10% | $1.8M |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the Dallas Cowboys next? | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.80% | $1.8M |
| New Orleans Saints Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.10% | $1.5M |
| Tennessee Titans Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.10% | $1.2M |
| Miami Dolphins Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.10% | $1.2M |
| Maxx Crosby Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next? | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.10% | $1.2M |
| Green Bay Packers Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 0.10% | $1.2M |
| Las Vegas Raiders Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.10% | $1.2M |
| Cleveland Browns Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.10% | $1.2M |
| Cincinnati Bengals Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 0.10% | $1.2M |
| Jacksonville Jaguars Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 0.20% | $1.2M |
| Kansas City Chiefs Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 0.10% | $1.2M |
| Maxx Crosby Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.10% | $1.1M |
| Detroit Lions Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 0.10% | $1.1M |
| Denver Broncos Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.10% | $1.1M |
| Arizona Cardinals Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.10% | $1.1M |
| Philadelphia Eagles Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 0.10% | $1.1M |
| Indianapolis Colts Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.10% | $1.1M |
| Pittsburgh Steelers Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.10% | $1.0M |
| Baltimore Ravens Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 0.20% | $1.0M |
| Dallas Cowboys Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 0.20% | $1.0M |
| Chicago Bears Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 0.10% | $1.0M |
| Arizona Cardinals Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.20% | $984k |
| Atlanta Falcons Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.10% | $957k |
| San Francisco 49ers Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 0.10% | $926k |
| Dallas Cowboys Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 1.10% | $916k |
| Minnesota Vikings Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.10% | $906k |
| Maxx Crosby Will Maxx Crosby play for Tennessee Titans next? | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.10% | $888k |
| Washington Commanders Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.10% | $865k |
| New York Giants Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.10% | $847k |
| Maxx Crosby Will Maxx Crosby play for Carolina Panthers next? | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.10% | $845k |
| Indianapolis Colts Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.10% | $807k |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 1.50% | $688k |
| Carolina Panthers Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.50% | $667k |
| Seattle Seahawks Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1.00% | $621k |
| Maxx Crosby Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.50% | $617k |
| Los Angeles Rams Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 14.5% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 1.00% | $576k |
| Pittsburgh Steelers Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.20% | $573k |
| Buffalo Bills Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 1.00% | $538k |
| Tennessee Titans Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.10% | $535k |
| New Orleans Saints Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.40% | $512k |
| New England Patriots Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 0.10% | $510k |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.40% | $502k |
| Maxx Crosby Will Maxx Crosby play for Jacksonville Jaguars next? | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.10% | $435k |
| Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season? | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.10% | $415k |
| Maxx Crosby Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next? | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.10% | $405k |
| New York Jets Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.20% | $398k |
| Las Vegas Raiders Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.20% | $330k |
| George Pickens Will George Pickens play for Cleveland Browns in 2026-27? | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.60% | $320k |
| Brandon Aiyuk Will Brandon Aiyuk play for New England Patriots in 2026-27? | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.90% | $309k |
| Maxx Crosby Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next? | 0.1% | — | 0.1% | — | $297k |
| Cincinnati Bengals Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 0.10% | $246k |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the Minnesota Vikings next? | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.40% | $220k |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the Philadelphia Eagles next? | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.60% | $219k |
Prices are probabilities: a contract settles at $1 if the event happens, so 14% means the market prices it at 14 cents. Contracts marked wide have a bid-ask spread over 5 points, which means the mid is not a price you could actually trade at. Sorted by traded volume, because a thin market at an extreme price is noise rather than signal.
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