Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices, on the same probability
scale as the devigged sportsbook consensus. Each venue publishes its own
prices; the comparison across all three is the part nobody else shows, because
making it honestly means removing the bookmaker’s margin first.
Only venues that run their own order book get a price
column. Coinbase and Robinhood sell these same contracts but route to an
exchange rather than making a market, so their prices are that
exchange’s — they are listed as places to trade, not as separate
opinions.
| Contract | Mid | Bid | Ask | Spread | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles R Will Los Angeles R win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 14.5% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 1.00% | $5.0M |
| Dallas Will Dallas win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.00% | $3.5M |
| Denver Will Denver win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1.00% | $3.3M |
| Seattle Will Seattle win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 1.00% | $3.1M |
| Buffalo Will Buffalo win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 1.00% | $2.8M |
| Minnesota Will Minnesota win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $2.8M |
| San Francisco Will San Francisco win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1.00% | $2.8M |
| Las Vegas Will Las Vegas win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $2.7M |
| Cincinnati Will Cincinnati win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1.00% | $2.5M |
| Chicago Will Chicago win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.00% | $2.3M |
| New Orleans Will New Orleans win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $2.2M |
| Houston Will Houston win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.00% | $2.2M |
| New York G Will New York G win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $2.1M |
| Baltimore Will Baltimore win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1.00% | $2.1M |
| Washington Will Washington win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $2.1M |
| Kansas City Will Kansas City win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 1.00% | $2.0M |
| New England Will New England win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1.00% | $1.9M |
| Philadelphia Will Philadelphia win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1.00% | $1.6M |
| Carolina Will Carolina win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $1.4M |
| Green Bay Will Green Bay win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.00% | $1.3M |
| Los Angeles C Will Los Angeles C win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1.00% | $1.3M |
| Detroit Will Detroit win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.00% | $1.2M |
| Miami Will Miami win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $1.1M |
| Tampa Bay Will Tampa Bay win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $1.1M |
| Pittsburgh Will Pittsburgh win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $836k |
| Jacksonville Will Jacksonville win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $581k |
| Patrick Mahomes Will Patrick Mahomes win the MVP? | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1.00% | $555k |
| Jordan Love Will Jordan Love win the MVP? | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1.00% | $473k |
| Cleveland Will Cleveland win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $470k |
| Los Angeles R Will Los Angeles R win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 24.5% | 24.0% | 25.0% | 1.00% | $465k |
| Jared Goff Will Jared Goff win the MVP? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $434k |
| Joe Burrow Will Joe Burrow win the MVP? | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 1.00% | $418k |
| Seattle Will Seattle win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 1.00% | $414k |
| Denver Will Denver win the Pro Football AFC Championship? | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 1.00% | $403k |
| Aaron Donald Aaron Donald to compete in the Pro Football Game in 2026-27 season? | 88.5% | 88.0% | 89.0% | 1.00% | $397k |
| Houston Will Houston win the Pro Football AFC Championship? | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 1.00% | $392k |
| Caleb Williams Will Caleb Williams win the MVP? | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1.00% | $392k |
| Indianapolis Will Indianapolis win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $374k |
| Dak Prescott Will Dak Prescott win the MVP? | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 1.00% | $373k |
| Kyler Murray Will Kyler Murray win the MVP? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $355k |
| Cincinnati Will Cincinnati win the Pro Football AFC Championship? | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 1.00% | $352k |
| Atlanta Will Atlanta win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $343k |
| Lamar Jackson Will Lamar Jackson win the MVP? | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 1.00% | $342k |
| Tennessee Will Tennessee win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $340k |
| Tyler Shough Will Tyler Shough win the MVP? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $338k |
| Justin Herbert Will Justin Herbert win the MVP? | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 1.00% | $338k |
| San Francisco Will San Francisco win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 1.00% | $320k |
| Dallas Will Dallas win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 1.00% | $314k |
| Matthew Stafford Will Matthew Stafford win the MVP? | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1.00% | $298k |
| Josh Allen Will Josh Allen win the MVP? | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 1.00% | $297k |
| New York G Will New York G win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $292k |
| Chicago Will Chicago win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 1.00% | $291k |
| Drake Maye Will Drake Maye win the MVP? | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1.00% | $290k |
| Brock Purdy Will Brock Purdy win the MVP? | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1.00% | $288k |
| Bo Nix Will Bo Nix win the MVP? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $284k |
| Las Vegas Will Las Vegas win the Pro Football AFC Championship? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $281k |
| Pittsburgh Will Pittsburgh win the Pro Football AFC Championship? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $281k |
| New York J Will New York J win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $276k |
| Trevor Lawrence Will Trevor Lawrence win the MVP? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $271k |
| Buffalo Will Buffalo win the Pro Football AFC Championship? | 15.5% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 1.00% | $259k |
Prices are probabilities: a contract settles at $1 if the event happens, so 14% means the market prices it at 14 cents. Contracts marked wide have a bid-ask spread over 5 points, which means the mid is not a price you could actually trade at. Sorted by traded volume, because a thin market at an extreme price is noise rather than signal.
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