Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices, on the same probability
scale as the devigged sportsbook consensus. Each venue publishes its own
prices; the comparison across all three is the part nobody else shows, because
making it honestly means removing the bookmaker’s margin first.
Only venues that run their own order book get a price
column. Coinbase and Robinhood sell these same contracts but route to an
exchange rather than making a market, so their prices are that
exchange’s — they are listed as places to trade, not as separate
opinions.
| Contract | Mid | Bid | Ask | Spread | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the Chicago Bears next? | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.70% | $2.2M |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the Dallas Cowboys next? | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.80% | $1.8M |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.40% | $502k |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the Minnesota Vikings next? | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.40% | $220k |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the Philadelphia Eagles next? | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.60% | $219k |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the Baltimore Ravens next? | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.80% | $129k |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Rams next? | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.80% | $42k |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next? | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 2.20% | $10k |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the Buffalo Bills next? | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.40% | $7k |
| Tyreek Hillwide Will Tyreek Hill play for the Las Vegas Raiders next? | 7.1% | 3.4% | 10.9% | 7.50% | $2k |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Chargers next? | 2.5% | — | 5.1% | — | $2k |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the New York Giants next? | 0.1% | — | 0.1% | — | $757 |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the San Francisco 49ers next? | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.50% | $626 |
| Tyreek Hill Will Tyreek Hill play for the Pittsburgh Steelers next? | 0.5% | — | 1.0% | — | $533 |
| Tyreek Hillwide Will Tyreek Hill play for Team I next? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
| Tyreek Hillwide Will Tyreek Hill play for Team J next? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
| Tyreek Hillwide Will Tyreek Hill play for Team K next? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
| Tyreek Hillwide Will Tyreek Hill play for Team L next? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
| Tyreek Hillwide Will Tyreek Hill play for another team next? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
Prices are probabilities: a contract settles at $1 if the event happens, so 14% means the market prices it at 14 cents. Contracts marked wide have a bid-ask spread over 5 points, which means the mid is not a price you could actually trade at. Sorted by traded volume, because a thin market at an extreme price is noise rather than signal.
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