Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices, on the same probability
scale as the devigged sportsbook consensus. Each venue publishes its own
prices; the comparison across all three is the part nobody else shows, because
making it honestly means removing the bookmaker’s margin first.
Only venues that run their own order book get a price
column. Coinbase and Robinhood sell these same contracts but route to an
exchange rather than making a market, so their prices are that
exchange’s — they are listed as places to trade, not as separate
opinions.
| Contract | Mid | Bid | Ask | Spread | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Vikings Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 1.90% | $1.9M |
| Arizona Cardinals Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.20% | $984k |
| Dallas Cowboys Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 1.10% | $916k |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 1.50% | $688k |
| Carolina Panthers Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.50% | $667k |
| New Orleans Saints Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.40% | $512k |
| Atlanta Falcons Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.10% | $175k |
| Washington Commanders Will Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 2.30% | $156k |
| Detroit Lions Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 0.20% | $121k |
| Green Bay Packers Will Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 1.00% | $44k |
| Philadelphia Eagles Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 0.40% | $35k |
| Chicago Bears Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 1.00% | $23k |
| San Francisco 49ers Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 1.00% | $22k |
| Los Angeles Rams Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 23.5% | 23.0% | 24.0% | 1.00% | $14k |
| New York Giants Will New York Giants win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 1.70% | $11k |
| Seattle Seahawks Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 1.00% | $9k |
| another teamwide Will another team win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
Prices are probabilities: a contract settles at $1 if the event happens, so 14% means the market prices it at 14 cents. Contracts marked wide have a bid-ask spread over 5 points, which means the mid is not a price you could actually trade at. Sorted by traded volume, because a thin market at an extreme price is noise rather than signal.
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