Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices, on the same probability
scale as the devigged sportsbook consensus. Each venue publishes its own
prices; the comparison across all three is the part nobody else shows, because
making it honestly means removing the bookmaker’s margin first.
Only venues that run their own order book get a price
column. Coinbase and Robinhood sell these same contracts but route to an
exchange rather than making a market, so their prices are that
exchange’s — they are listed as places to trade, not as separate
opinions.
| Contract | Mid | Bid | Ask | Spread | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.10% | $807k |
| Pittsburgh Steelers Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.20% | $573k |
| Tennessee Titans Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.10% | $535k |
| New York Jets Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.20% | $398k |
| Las Vegas Raiders Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.20% | $330k |
| Cincinnati Bengals Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 0.10% | $246k |
| Houston Texans Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 1.10% | $176k |
| Kansas City Chiefs Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 1.00% | $151k |
| Cleveland Browns Will Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.10% | $135k |
| Miami Dolphins Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.20% | $97k |
| Denver Broncos Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1.00% | $52k |
| Jacksonville Jaguars Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 1.00% | $39k |
| Baltimore Ravens Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 15.5% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 1.00% | $24k |
| New England Patriots Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 1.00% | $19k |
| Los Angeles Chargers Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 2.00% | $18k |
| Buffalo Bills Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 14.5% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 1.00% | $14k |
| another teamwide Will another team win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
Prices are probabilities: a contract settles at $1 if the event happens, so 14% means the market prices it at 14 cents. Contracts marked wide have a bid-ask spread over 5 points, which means the mid is not a price you could actually trade at. Sorted by traded volume, because a thin market at an extreme price is noise rather than signal.
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