Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices, on the same probability
scale as the devigged sportsbook consensus. Each venue publishes its own
prices; the comparison across all three is the part nobody else shows, because
making it honestly means removing the bookmaker’s margin first.
Only venues that run their own order book get a price
column. Coinbase and Robinhood sell these same contracts but route to an
exchange rather than making a market, so their prices are that
exchange’s — they are listed as places to trade, not as separate
opinions.
| Contract | Mid | Bid | Ask | Spread | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.20% | $119k |
| Baker Mayfield Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.10% | $101k |
| Lamar Jackson Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 1.00% | $21k |
| Justin Herbert Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 1.00% | $20k |
| Joe Burrow Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 0.10% | $10k |
| Caleb Williams Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 0.10% | $7k |
| Drake Maye Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 1.00% | $7k |
| Jalen Hurts Will Jalen Hurts win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 1.20% | $5k |
| Jaxson Dart Will Jaxson Dart win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 1.20% | $5k |
| Justin Jefferson Will Justin Jefferson win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.10% | $5k |
| Christian McCaffrey Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.50% | $5k |
| Dak Prescott Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 0.10% | $5k |
| Josh Allen Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 1.00% | $4k |
| Jahmyr Gibbs Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 2.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 1.80% | $4k |
| Brock Purdy Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 0.60% | $4k |
| Jaxson Smith-Njigba Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.60% | $3k |
| Matthew Stafford Will Matthew Stafford win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 1.00% | $3k |
| Sam Darnold Will Sam Darnold win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.20% | $3k |
| De'Von Achane Will De'Von Achane win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.10% | $2k |
| Bo Nix Will Bo Nix win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.40% | $2k |
| Jordan Love Will Jordan Love win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 0.10% | $2k |
| Myles Garrett Will Myles Garrett win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.20% | $2k |
| Derrick Henry Will Derrick Henry win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.20% | $2k |
| Patrick Mahomes Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1.00% | $1k |
| Jared Goff Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.10% | $1k |
| Trevor Lawrence Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.10% | $861 |
| Bijan Robinson Will Bijan Robinson win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.20% | $494 |
| Puka Nacua Will Puka Nacua win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.10% | $474 |
| Ja'Marr Chase Will Ja'Marr Chase win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 0.1% | — | 0.1% | — | $175 |
| Player Kwide Will Player K win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
| Player Lwide Will Player L win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
| Player Mwide Will Player M win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
| Player Nwide Will Player N win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
| Player Owide Will Player O win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
| Player Pwide Will Player P win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
| Player Qwide Will Player Q win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
| Player Rwide Will Player R win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
| Player Swide Will Player S win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
| Player Twide Will Player T win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
| someone elsewide Will someone else win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 50.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.00% | $0 |
Prices are probabilities: a contract settles at $1 if the event happens, so 14% means the market prices it at 14 cents. Contracts marked wide have a bid-ask spread over 5 points, which means the mid is not a price you could actually trade at. Sorted by traded volume, because a thin market at an extreme price is noise rather than signal.
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