Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices, on the same probability
scale as the devigged sportsbook consensus. Each venue publishes its own
prices; the comparison across all three is the part nobody else shows, because
making it honestly means removing the bookmaker’s margin first.
Only venues that run their own order book get a price
column. Coinbase and Robinhood sell these same contracts but route to an
exchange rather than making a market, so their prices are that
exchange’s — they are listed as places to trade, not as separate
opinions.
| Contract | Mid | Bid | Ask | Spread | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 75.5% | 75.0% | 76.0% | 1.00% | $6k |
| Miami Dolphins Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 3.10% | $3k |
| New Orleans Saints Will the New Orleans Saints make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 33.5% | 32.0% | 35.0% | 3.00% | $2k |
| Denver Broncos Will the Denver Broncos make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 55.0% | 53.0% | 57.0% | 4.00% | $2k |
| New England Patriots Will the New England Patriots make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 62.6% | 61.3% | 64.0% | 2.70% | $2k |
| Dallas Cowboys Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 50.0% | 49.0% | 51.0% | 2.00% | $572 |
| Seattle Seahawks Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 66.5% | 66.0% | 67.0% | 1.00% | $524 |
| Philadelphia Eagles Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 60.0% | 59.0% | 61.0% | 2.00% | $520 |
| Arizona Cardinalswide Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 7.2% | 3.5% | 11.0% | 7.50% | $319 |
| Buffalo Bills Will the Buffalo Bills make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 76.0% | 75.0% | 77.0% | 2.00% | $290 |
| Cincinnati Bengals Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 61.5% | 61.0% | 62.0% | 1.00% | $250 |
| Detroit Lions Will the Detroit Lions make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 65.0% | 63.0% | 67.0% | 4.00% | $169 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars Will the Jacksonville Jaguars make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 52.5% | 52.0% | 53.0% | 1.00% | $83 |
| New York Jets Will the New York Jets make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 9.5% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 3.00% | $32 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 40.5% | 39.0% | 42.0% | 3.00% | $24 |
| New York Giants Will the New York Giants make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 25.0% | 23.0% | 27.0% | 4.00% | $10 |
| Cleveland Browns Will the Cleveland Browns make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 12.5% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 3.00% | $6 |
| Los Angeles Rams Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 80.5% | 79.0% | 82.0% | 3.00% | $0 |
| Las Vegas Raiders Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 15.0% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 4.00% | $0 |
| Tennessee Titans Will the Tennessee Titans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 17.0% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 4.00% | $0 |
| Atlanta Falcons Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 27.0% | 26.0% | 28.0% | 2.00% | $0 |
| Carolina Panthers Will the Carolina Panthers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 26.5% | 26.0% | 27.0% | 1.00% | $0 |
| Chicago Bears Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 48.5% | 46.0% | 51.0% | 5.00% | $0 |
| Green Bay Packers Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 50.5% | 50.0% | 51.0% | 1.00% | $0 |
| Houston Texans Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 60.0% | 59.0% | 61.0% | 2.00% | $0 |
| Indianapolis Colts Will the Indianapolis Colts make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 36.0% | 35.0% | 37.0% | 2.00% | $0 |
| Kansas City Chiefs Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 63.0% | 62.0% | 64.0% | 2.00% | $0 |
| Los Angeles Chargers Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 62.5% | 62.0% | 63.0% | 1.00% | $0 |
| Minnesota Vikings Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 37.5% | 36.0% | 39.0% | 3.00% | $0 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 37.0% | 36.0% | 38.0% | 2.00% | $0 |
| San Francisco 49ers Will the San Francisco 49ers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 55.0% | 54.0% | 56.0% | 2.00% | $0 |
| Washington Commanders Will the Washington Commanders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | 29.0% | 28.0% | 30.0% | 2.00% | $0 |
Prices are probabilities: a contract settles at $1 if the event happens, so 14% means the market prices it at 14 cents. Contracts marked wide have a bid-ask spread over 5 points, which means the mid is not a price you could actually trade at. Sorted by traded volume, because a thin market at an extreme price is noise rather than signal.
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