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Prediction Markets

Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices, on the same probability scale as the devigged sportsbook consensus. Each venue publishes its own prices; the comparison across all three is the part nobody else shows, because making it honestly means removing the bookmaker’s margin first.
Only venues that run their own order book get a price column. Coinbase and Robinhood sell these same contracts but route to an exchange rather than making a market, so their prices are that exchange’s — they are listed as places to trade, not as separate opinions.

32 of 8,154 open contracts · Kalshi · mid-market · Super Bowl Trade at: Kalshi · Polymarket · Coinbase (routes to Kalshi) · Robinhood (routes to Kalshi)
ContractMidBid AskSpreadVolume
Los Angeles R
Will Los Angeles R win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
14.5%14.0%15.0%1.00%$5.0M
Dallas
Will Dallas win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
3.5%3.0%4.0%1.00%$3.5M
Denver
Will Denver win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
4.5%4.0%5.0%1.00%$3.3M
Seattle
Will Seattle win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
7.5%7.0%8.0%1.00%$3.1M
Buffalo
Will Buffalo win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
7.5%7.0%8.0%1.00%$2.8M
Minnesota
Will Minnesota win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
1.5%1.0%2.0%1.00%$2.8M
San Francisco
Will San Francisco win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
4.5%4.0%5.0%1.00%$2.8M
Las Vegas
Will Las Vegas win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
0.5%0.0%1.0%1.00%$2.7M
Cincinnati
Will Cincinnati win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
4.5%4.0%5.0%1.00%$2.5M
Chicago
Will Chicago win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
3.5%3.0%4.0%1.00%$2.3M
New Orleans
Will New Orleans win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
0.5%0.0%1.0%1.00%$2.2M
Houston
Will Houston win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
3.5%3.0%4.0%1.00%$2.2M
New York G
Will New York G win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
1.5%1.0%2.0%1.00%$2.1M
Baltimore
Will Baltimore win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
6.5%6.0%7.0%1.00%$2.1M
Washington
Will Washington win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
1.5%1.0%2.0%1.00%$2.1M
Kansas City
Will Kansas City win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
5.5%5.0%6.0%1.00%$2.0M
New England
Will New England win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
4.5%4.0%5.0%1.00%$1.9M
Philadelphia
Will Philadelphia win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
4.5%4.0%5.0%1.00%$1.6M
Carolina
Will Carolina win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
0.5%0.0%1.0%1.00%$1.4M
Green Bay
Will Green Bay win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
3.5%3.0%4.0%1.00%$1.3M
Los Angeles C
Will Los Angeles C win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
4.5%4.0%5.0%1.00%$1.3M
Detroit
Will Detroit win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
3.5%3.0%4.0%1.00%$1.2M
Miami
Will Miami win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
0.5%0.0%1.0%1.00%$1.1M
Tampa Bay
Will Tampa Bay win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
1.5%1.0%2.0%1.00%$1.1M
Pittsburgh
Will Pittsburgh win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
1.5%1.0%2.0%1.00%$836k
Jacksonville
Will Jacksonville win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
2.5%2.0%3.0%1.00%$581k
Cleveland
Will Cleveland win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
0.5%0.0%1.0%1.00%$470k
Indianapolis
Will Indianapolis win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
1.5%1.0%2.0%1.00%$374k
Atlanta
Will Atlanta win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
0.5%0.0%1.0%1.00%$343k
Tennessee
Will Tennessee win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
0.5%0.0%1.0%1.00%$340k
New York J
Will New York J win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
0.5%0.0%1.0%1.00%$276k
Arizona
Will Arizona win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
0.5%0.0%1.0%1.00%$188k

Prices are probabilities: a contract settles at $1 if the event happens, so 14% means the market prices it at 14 cents. Contracts marked wide have a bid-ask spread over 5 points, which means the mid is not a price you could actually trade at. Sorted by traded volume, because a thin market at an extreme price is noise rather than signal.

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