Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices, on the same probability
scale as the devigged sportsbook consensus. Each venue publishes its own
prices; the comparison across all three is the part nobody else shows, because
making it honestly means removing the bookmaker’s margin first.
Only venues that run their own order book get a price
column. Coinbase and Robinhood sell these same contracts but route to an
exchange rather than making a market, so their prices are that
exchange’s — they are listed as places to trade, not as separate
opinions.
| Contract | Mid | Bid | Ask | Spread | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8+ wins Will the New York G pro football team win at least 8 games this season? | 51.5% | 51.0% | 52.0% | 1.00% | $42k |
| 7+ wins Will the Cleveland pro football team win at least 7 games this season? | 38.0% | 37.0% | 39.0% | 2.00% | $34k |
| 9+ wins Will the New York G pro football team win at least 9 games this season? | 38.0% | 37.0% | 39.0% | 2.00% | $32k |
| 5+ wins Will the Miami pro football team win at least 5 games this season? | 38.0% | 37.0% | 39.0% | 2.00% | $30k |
| 9+ wins Will the Minnesota pro football team win at least 9 games this season? | 53.0% | 52.0% | 54.0% | 2.00% | $29k |
| 11+ wins Will the San Francisco pro football team win at least 11 games this season? | 41.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | 2.00% | $27k |
| 10+ wins Will the Dallas pro football team win at least 10 games this season? | 51.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | 2.00% | $23k |
| 12+ wins Will the Seattle pro football team win at least 12 games this season? | 42.0% | 41.0% | 43.0% | 2.00% | $23k |
| 9+ wins Will the New Orleans pro football team win at least 9 games this season? | 40.5% | 40.0% | 41.0% | 1.00% | $21k |
| 8+ wins Will the Atlanta pro football team win at least 8 games this season? | 46.5% | 46.0% | 47.0% | 1.00% | $21k |
| 6+ wins Will the Cleveland pro football team win at least 6 games this season? | 51.5% | 49.0% | 54.0% | 5.00% | $20k |
| 6+ wins Will the New York J pro football team win at least 6 games this season? | 46.0% | 45.0% | 47.0% | 2.00% | $20k |
| 4+ wins Will the Arizona pro football team win at least 4 games this season? | 58.5% | 58.0% | 59.0% | 1.00% | $18k |
| 5+ wins Will the Arizona pro football team win at least 5 games this season? | 44.5% | 43.0% | 46.0% | 3.00% | $17k |
| 11+ wins Will the Chicago pro football team win at least 11 games this season? | 36.5% | 36.0% | 37.0% | 1.00% | $17k |
| 8+ wins Will the Washington pro football team win at least 8 games this season? | 49.5% | 49.0% | 50.0% | 1.00% | $16k |
| 12+ wins Will the Chicago pro football team win at least 12 games this season? | 26.0% | 25.0% | 27.0% | 2.00% | $16k |
| 7+ wins Will the Las Vegas pro football team win at least 7 games this season? | 45.5% | 45.0% | 46.0% | 1.00% | $16k |
| 9+ wins Will the Pittsburgh pro football team win at least 9 games this season? | 46.0% | 45.0% | 47.0% | 2.00% | $15k |
| 11+ wins Will the Seattle pro football team win at least 11 games this season? | 55.0% | 54.0% | 56.0% | 2.00% | $15k |
| 10+ wins Will the Minnesota pro football team win at least 10 games this season? | 39.5% | 39.0% | 40.0% | 1.00% | $15k |
| 8+ wins Will the New Orleans pro football team win at least 8 games this season? | 55.5% | 55.0% | 56.0% | 1.00% | $14k |
| 11+ wins Will the New England pro football team win at least 11 games this season? | 43.0% | 42.0% | 44.0% | 2.00% | $14k |
| 10+ wins Will the Chicago pro football team win at least 10 games this season? | 48.0% | 47.0% | 49.0% | 2.00% | $13k |
| 10+ wins Will the New England pro football team win at least 10 games this season? | 56.0% | 55.0% | 57.0% | 2.00% | $13k |
| 11+ winswide Will the Houston pro football team win at least 11 games this season? | 46.0% | 43.0% | 49.0% | 6.00% | $13k |
| 12+ wins Will the Los Angeles R pro football team win at least 12 games this season? | 55.0% | 53.0% | 57.0% | 4.00% | $12k |
| 6+ wins Will the Las Vegas pro football team win at least 6 games this season? | 60.5% | 60.0% | 61.0% | 1.00% | $12k |
| 4+ wins Will the Miami pro football team win at least 4 games this season? | 54.5% | 54.0% | 55.0% | 1.00% | $12k |
| 7+ wins Will the Arizona pro football team win at least 7 games this season? | 18.5% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 1.00% | $12k |
| 11+ wins Will the Denver pro football team win at least 11 games this season? | 40.0% | 39.0% | 41.0% | 2.00% | $11k |
| 10+ wins Will the New York G pro football team win at least 10 games this season? | 28.5% | 28.0% | 29.0% | 1.00% | $11k |
| 10+ wins Will the Kansas City pro football team win at least 10 games this season? | 55.5% | 55.0% | 56.0% | 1.00% | $11k |
| 10+ wins Will the Denver pro football team win at least 10 games this season? | 53.5% | 53.0% | 54.0% | 1.00% | $11k |
| 9+ wins Will the Dallas pro football team win at least 9 games this season? | 63.5% | 63.0% | 64.0% | 1.00% | $11k |
| 8+ wins Will the Minnesota pro football team win at least 8 games this season? | 65.0% | 64.0% | 66.0% | 2.00% | $11k |
| 8+ wins Will the Carolina pro football team win at least 8 games this season? | 42.0% | 41.0% | 43.0% | 2.00% | $11k |
| 10+ wins Will the San Francisco pro football team win at least 10 games this season? | 56.0% | 55.0% | 57.0% | 2.00% | $11k |
| 11+ wins Will the Dallas pro football team win at least 11 games this season? | 36.5% | 36.0% | 37.0% | 1.00% | $10k |
| 11+ wins Will the Philadelphia pro football team win at least 11 games this season? | 46.5% | 46.0% | 47.0% | 1.00% | $10k |
| 13+ wins Will the Los Angeles R pro football team win at least 13 games this season? | 39.5% | 37.0% | 42.0% | 5.00% | $10k |
| 5+ wins Will the New York J pro football team win at least 5 games this season? | 63.0% | 62.0% | 64.0% | 2.00% | $9k |
| 11+ wins Will the Green Bay pro football team win at least 11 games this season? | 39.5% | 39.0% | 40.0% | 1.00% | $9k |
| 7+ wins Will the Tennessee pro football team win at least 7 games this season? | 47.0% | 45.0% | 49.0% | 4.00% | $9k |
| 8+ wins Will the Las Vegas pro football team win at least 8 games this season? | 33.5% | 33.0% | 34.0% | 1.00% | $8k |
| 11+ wins Will the Cincinnati pro football team win at least 11 games this season? | 46.0% | 45.0% | 47.0% | 2.00% | $8k |
| 11+ wins Will the New York G pro football team win at least 11 games this season? | 19.0% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 2.00% | $8k |
| 9+ wins Will the Washington pro football team win at least 9 games this season? | 37.5% | 37.0% | 38.0% | 1.00% | $8k |
| 11+ wins Will the Detroit pro football team win at least 11 games this season? | 54.5% | 53.0% | 56.0% | 3.00% | $8k |
| 16+ winswide Will the Los Angeles R pro football team win at least 16 games this season? | 11.0% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 6.00% | $7k |
| 7+ wins Will the New York G pro football team win at least 7 games this season? | 63.0% | 62.0% | 64.0% | 2.00% | $7k |
| 10+ winswide Will the Philadelphia pro football team win at least 10 games this season? | 64.0% | 59.0% | 69.0% | 10.00% | $7k |
| 10+ wins Will the Houston pro football team win at least 10 games this season? | 60.5% | 58.0% | 63.0% | 5.00% | $7k |
| 11+ wins Will the Los Angeles C pro football team win at least 11 games this season? | 42.0% | 41.0% | 43.0% | 2.00% | $7k |
| 17 winswide Will the Los Angeles R pro football team win at least 17 games this season? | 7.5% | 4.0% | 11.0% | 7.00% | $7k |
| 3+ winswide Will the Arizona pro football team win at least 3 games this season? | 72.0% | 68.0% | 76.0% | 8.00% | $7k |
| 12+ wins Will the Baltimore pro football team win at least 12 games this season? | 41.0% | 39.0% | 43.0% | 4.00% | $7k |
| 8+ wins Will the Cleveland pro football team win at least 8 games this season? | 30.5% | 30.0% | 31.0% | 1.00% | $7k |
| 2+ winswide Will the Arizona pro football team win at least 2 games this season? | 78.0% | 73.0% | 83.0% | 10.00% | $6k |
| 12+ wins Will the Detroit pro football team win at least 12 games this season? | 40.5% | 38.0% | 43.0% | 5.00% | $6k |
Prices are probabilities: a contract settles at $1 if the event happens, so 14% means the market prices it at 14 cents. Contracts marked wide have a bid-ask spread over 5 points, which means the mid is not a price you could actually trade at. Sorted by traded volume, because a thin market at an extreme price is noise rather than signal.
21+ · Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.