Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices, on the same probability
scale as the devigged sportsbook consensus. Each venue publishes its own
prices; the comparison across all three is the part nobody else shows, because
making it honestly means removing the bookmaker’s margin first.
Only venues that run their own order book get a price
column. Coinbase and Robinhood sell these same contracts but route to an
exchange rather than making a market, so their prices are that
exchange’s — they are listed as places to trade, not as separate
opinions.
| Contract | Mid | Bid | Ask | Spread | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Will Las Vegas be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 17.5% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 1.00% | $75k |
| New York G Will New York G be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 31.0% | 30.0% | 32.0% | 2.00% | $72k |
| New York J Will New York J be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 1.00% | $53k |
| Dallas Will Dallas be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 54.0% | 53.0% | 55.0% | 2.00% | $51k |
| Cleveland Will Cleveland be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 13.5% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 1.00% | $39k |
| Arizona Will Arizona be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 1.00% | $39k |
| Miami Will Miami be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 1.00% | $36k |
| New Orleans Will New Orleans be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 37.5% | 37.0% | 38.0% | 1.00% | $35k |
| Minnesota Will Minnesota be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 40.5% | 40.0% | 41.0% | 1.00% | $31k |
| Pittsburgh Will Pittsburgh be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 38.0% | 37.0% | 39.0% | 2.00% | $19k |
| San Francisco Will San Francisco be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 57.5% | 57.0% | 58.0% | 1.00% | $17k |
| Seattle Will Seattle be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 65.0% | 64.0% | 66.0% | 2.00% | $17k |
| Carolina Will Carolina be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 30.0% | 29.0% | 31.0% | 2.00% | $14k |
| Chicago Will Chicago be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 51.5% | 51.0% | 52.0% | 1.00% | $12k |
| Houston Will Houston be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 61.5% | 61.0% | 62.0% | 1.00% | $12k |
| Philadelphia Will Philadelphia be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 60.0% | 59.0% | 61.0% | 2.00% | $11k |
| Tennessee Will Tennessee be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 21.0% | 20.0% | 22.0% | 2.00% | $11k |
| Washington Will Washington be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 31.5% | 31.0% | 32.0% | 1.00% | $11k |
| Los Angeles C Will Los Angeles C be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 60.5% | 60.0% | 61.0% | 1.00% | $9k |
| Denver Will Denver be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 58.0% | 57.0% | 59.0% | 2.00% | $9k |
| Atlanta Will Atlanta be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 27.5% | 27.0% | 28.0% | 1.00% | $9k |
| New England Will New England be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 61.5% | 61.0% | 62.0% | 1.00% | $8k |
| Los Angeles R Will Los Angeles R be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 79.5% | 79.0% | 80.0% | 1.00% | $8k |
| Kansas City Will Kansas City be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 62.5% | 62.0% | 63.0% | 1.00% | $7k |
| Cincinnati Will Cincinnati be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 64.0% | 63.0% | 65.0% | 2.00% | $5k |
| Green Bay Will Green Bay be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 54.5% | 54.0% | 55.0% | 1.00% | $5k |
| Detroit Will Detroit be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 65.5% | 65.0% | 66.0% | 1.00% | $4k |
| Tampa Bay Will Tampa Bay be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 41.5% | 41.0% | 42.0% | 1.00% | $4k |
| Indianapolis Will Indianapolis be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 37.0% | 36.0% | 38.0% | 2.00% | $3k |
| Baltimore Will Baltimore be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 73.0% | 72.0% | 74.0% | 2.00% | $3k |
| Jacksonville Will Jacksonville be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 52.5% | 52.0% | 53.0% | 1.00% | $2k |
| Buffalo Will Buffalo be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers? | 76.5% | 76.0% | 77.0% | 1.00% | $2k |
Prices are probabilities: a contract settles at $1 if the event happens, so 14% means the market prices it at 14 cents. Contracts marked wide have a bid-ask spread over 5 points, which means the mid is not a price you could actually trade at. Sorted by traded volume, because a thin market at an extreme price is noise rather than signal.
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