Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices, on the same probability
scale as the devigged sportsbook consensus. Each venue publishes its own
prices; the comparison across all three is the part nobody else shows, because
making it honestly means removing the bookmaker’s margin first.
Only venues that run their own order book get a price
column. Coinbase and Robinhood sell these same contracts but route to an
exchange rather than making a market, so their prices are that
exchange’s — they are listed as places to trade, not as separate
opinions.
| Contract | Mid | Bid | Ask | Spread | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadarian Price Will Jadarian Price win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 14.5% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 1.00% | $60k |
| Carnell Tate Will Carnell Tate win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 13.5% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 1.00% | $48k |
| Carson Beck Will Carson Beck win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 2.00% | $46k |
| Fernando Mendoza Will Fernando Mendoza win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 18.5% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 1.00% | $45k |
| Denzel Boston Will Denzel Boston win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.00% | $30k |
| Zachariah Branch Will Zachariah Branch win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $28k |
| Jordyn Tyson Will Jordyn Tyson win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 13.0% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 2.00% | $28k |
| Jeremiyah Love Will Jeremiyah Love win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 17.0% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 2.00% | $23k |
| Makai Lemon Will Makai Lemon win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1.00% | $23k |
| KC Concepcion Will KC Concepcion win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.00% | $22k |
| Jonah Coleman Will Jonah Coleman win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 1.0% | 0.0% | 2.0% | 2.00% | $17k |
| Kenyon Sadiq Will Kenyon Sadiq win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $14k |
| Germie Bernard Will Germie Bernard win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 1.0% | 0.0% | 2.0% | 2.00% | $10k |
| Ty Simpson Will Ty Simpson win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $10k |
| Omar Cooper Jr. Will Omar Cooper Jr. win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $9k |
| Drew Allar Will Drew Allar win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $6k |
| Eli Stowers Will Eli Stowers win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $6k |
| Garrett Nussmeier Will Garrett Nussmeier win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $5k |
| Elijah Sarratt Will Elijah Sarratt win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $5k |
| Chris Bell Will Chris Bell win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $4k |
| Tie/Co-Winners Will Tie/Co-Winners win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $3k |
| Chris Brazzell II Will Chris Brazzell II win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $3k |
| Mike Washington Jr. Will Mike Washington Jr. win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $45 |
Prices are probabilities: a contract settles at $1 if the event happens, so 14% means the market prices it at 14 cents. Contracts marked wide have a bid-ask spread over 5 points, which means the mid is not a price you could actually trade at. Sorted by traded volume, because a thin market at an extreme price is noise rather than signal.
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