Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices, on the same probability
scale as the devigged sportsbook consensus. Each venue publishes its own
prices; the comparison across all three is the part nobody else shows, because
making it honestly means removing the bookmaker’s margin first.
Only venues that run their own order book get a price
column. Coinbase and Robinhood sell these same contracts but route to an
exchange rather than making a market, so their prices are that
exchange’s — they are listed as places to trade, not as separate
opinions.
| Contract | Mid | Bid | Ask | Spread | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles R Will Los Angeles R win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 24.5% | 24.0% | 25.0% | 1.00% | $465k |
| Seattle Will Seattle win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 1.00% | $414k |
| San Francisco Will San Francisco win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 1.00% | $320k |
| Dallas Will Dallas win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 1.00% | $314k |
| New York G Will New York G win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $292k |
| Chicago Will Chicago win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 1.00% | $291k |
| Minnesota Will Minnesota win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.00% | $229k |
| New Orleans Will New Orleans win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $211k |
| Washington Will Washington win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.00% | $205k |
| Philadelphia Will Philadelphia win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 1.00% | $162k |
| Tampa Bay Will Tampa Bay win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $148k |
| Carolina Will Carolina win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $135k |
| Detroit Will Detroit win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 1.00% | $106k |
| Green Bay Will Green Bay win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 1.00% | $71k |
| Atlanta Will Atlanta win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $61k |
| Arizona Will Arizona win the Pro Football NFC Championship? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $60k |
Prices are probabilities: a contract settles at $1 if the event happens, so 14% means the market prices it at 14 cents. Contracts marked wide have a bid-ask spread over 5 points, which means the mid is not a price you could actually trade at. Sorted by traded volume, because a thin market at an extreme price is noise rather than signal.
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