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Prediction Markets

Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices, on the same probability scale as the devigged sportsbook consensus. Each venue publishes its own prices; the comparison across all three is the part nobody else shows, because making it honestly means removing the bookmaker’s margin first.
Only venues that run their own order book get a price column. Coinbase and Robinhood sell these same contracts but route to an exchange rather than making a market, so their prices are that exchange’s — they are listed as places to trade, not as separate opinions.

16 of 8,154 open contracts · Kalshi · mid-market · National Football Conference Champion Trade at: Kalshi · Polymarket · Coinbase (routes to Kalshi) · Robinhood (routes to Kalshi)
ContractMidBid AskSpreadVolume
Los Angeles R
Will Los Angeles R win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
24.5%24.0%25.0%1.00%$465k
Seattle
Will Seattle win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
12.5%12.0%13.0%1.00%$414k
San Francisco
Will San Francisco win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
9.5%9.0%10.0%1.00%$320k
Dallas
Will Dallas win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
7.5%7.0%8.0%1.00%$314k
New York G
Will New York G win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
2.5%2.0%3.0%1.00%$292k
Chicago
Will Chicago win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
7.5%7.0%8.0%1.00%$291k
Minnesota
Will Minnesota win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
3.5%3.0%4.0%1.00%$229k
New Orleans
Will New Orleans win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
1.5%1.0%2.0%1.00%$211k
Washington
Will Washington win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
3.5%3.0%4.0%1.00%$205k
Philadelphia
Will Philadelphia win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
9.5%9.0%10.0%1.00%$162k
Tampa Bay
Will Tampa Bay win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
2.5%2.0%3.0%1.00%$148k
Carolina
Will Carolina win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
1.5%1.0%2.0%1.00%$135k
Detroit
Will Detroit win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
7.5%7.0%8.0%1.00%$106k
Green Bay
Will Green Bay win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
8.5%8.0%9.0%1.00%$71k
Atlanta
Will Atlanta win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
1.5%1.0%2.0%1.00%$61k
Arizona
Will Arizona win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
0.5%0.0%1.0%1.00%$60k

Prices are probabilities: a contract settles at $1 if the event happens, so 14% means the market prices it at 14 cents. Contracts marked wide have a bid-ask spread over 5 points, which means the mid is not a price you could actually trade at. Sorted by traded volume, because a thin market at an extreme price is noise rather than signal.

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