Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices, on the same probability
scale as the devigged sportsbook consensus. Each venue publishes its own
prices; the comparison across all three is the part nobody else shows, because
making it honestly means removing the bookmaker’s margin first.
Only venues that run their own order book get a price
column. Coinbase and Robinhood sell these same contracts but route to an
exchange rather than making a market, so their prices are that
exchange’s — they are listed as places to trade, not as separate
opinions.
| Contract | Mid | Bid | Ask | Spread | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Will New England win the New England vs Seattle Pro Football game? | 35.5% | 35.0% | 36.0% | 1.00% | $74k |
| Seattle Will Seattle win the New England vs Seattle Pro Football game? | 64.5% | 64.0% | 65.0% | 1.00% | $59k |
| San Francisco Will San Francisco win the San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game? | 36.5% | 36.0% | 37.0% | 1.00% | $44k |
| Detroit Will Detroit win the Detroit vs Cincinnati Pro Football game? | 29.5% | 29.0% | 30.0% | 1.00% | $40k |
| Los Angeles R Will Los Angeles R win the San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game? | 63.5% | 63.0% | 64.0% | 1.00% | $35k |
| Pittsburgh Will Pittsburgh win the Green Bay vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game? | 54.5% | 54.0% | 55.0% | 1.00% | $33k |
| Dallas Will Dallas win the Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game? | 57.0% | 56.0% | 58.0% | 2.00% | $33k |
| Green Bay Will Green Bay win the Green Bay vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game? | 45.5% | 45.0% | 46.0% | 1.00% | $31k |
| San Francisco Will San Francisco win the Tennessee vs San Francisco Pro Football game? | 42.5% | 42.0% | 43.0% | 1.00% | $29k |
| Denver Will Denver win the Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game? | 42.5% | 42.0% | 43.0% | 1.00% | $28k |
| Cincinnati Will Cincinnati win the Detroit vs Cincinnati Pro Football game? | 70.5% | 70.0% | 71.0% | 1.00% | $22k |
| Chicago Will Chicago win the Cleveland vs Chicago Pro Football game? | 51.5% | 51.0% | 52.0% | 1.00% | $22k |
| Los Angeles C Will Los Angeles C win the Los Angeles C vs Houston Pro Football game? | 44.5% | 44.0% | 45.0% | 1.00% | $21k |
| Seattle Will Seattle win the Dallas vs Seattle Pro Football game? | 63.0% | 62.0% | 64.0% | 2.00% | $19k |
| New York G Will New York G win the Minnesota vs New York G Pro Football game? | 41.5% | 41.0% | 42.0% | 1.00% | $18k |
| Las Vegas Will Las Vegas win the Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game? | 64.0% | 63.0% | 65.0% | 2.00% | $18k |
| Green Bay Will Green Bay win the Green Bay vs Minnesota Pro Football game? | 49.5% | 49.0% | 50.0% | 1.00% | $18k |
| Arizona Will Arizona win the Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game? | 19.5% | 19.0% | 20.0% | 1.00% | $17k |
| Buffalo Will Buffalo win the Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game? | 50.5% | 50.0% | 51.0% | 1.00% | $16k |
| Houston Will Houston win the Los Angeles C vs Houston Pro Football game? | 55.5% | 55.0% | 56.0% | 1.00% | $16k |
| Tennessee Will Tennessee win the Tennessee vs San Francisco Pro Football game? | 56.5% | 56.0% | 57.0% | 1.00% | $15k |
| Los Angeles C Will Los Angeles C win the Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game? | 81.0% | 80.0% | 82.0% | 2.00% | $14k |
| Chicago Will Chicago win the Chicago vs Carolina Pro Football game? | 59.0% | 58.0% | 60.0% | 2.00% | $14k |
| Washington Will Washington win the Miami vs Washington Pro Football game? | 42.5% | 42.0% | 43.0% | 1.00% | $14k |
| Buffalo Will Buffalo win the Carolina vs Buffalo Pro Football game? | 44.5% | 44.0% | 45.0% | 1.00% | $13k |
| Denver Will Denver win the Denver vs Atlanta Pro Football game? | 68.5% | 68.0% | 69.0% | 1.00% | $13k |
| New England Will New England win the Indianapolis vs New England Pro Football game? | 54.5% | 54.0% | 55.0% | 1.00% | $13k |
| Carolina Will Carolina win the Carolina vs Buffalo Pro Football game? | 54.5% | 54.0% | 55.0% | 1.00% | $13k |
| Detroit Will Detroit win the New Orleans vs Detroit Pro Football game? | 75.5% | 75.0% | 76.0% | 1.00% | $12k |
| New Orleans Will New Orleans win the New Orleans vs Detroit Pro Football game? | 24.5% | 24.0% | 25.0% | 1.00% | $12k |
| New York G Will New York G win the Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game? | 43.0% | 42.0% | 44.0% | 2.00% | $12k |
| Dallas Will Dallas win the Dallas vs Seattle Pro Football game? | 38.5% | 38.0% | 39.0% | 1.00% | $11k |
| Indianapolis Will Indianapolis win the Indianapolis vs New England Pro Football game? | 45.5% | 45.0% | 46.0% | 1.00% | $11k |
| Arizona Will Arizona win the Arizona vs Las Vegas Pro Football game? | 45.5% | 45.0% | 46.0% | 1.00% | $11k |
| Atlanta Will Atlanta win the Denver vs Atlanta Pro Football game? | 31.5% | 31.0% | 32.0% | 1.00% | $10k |
| Kansas City Will Kansas City win the Los Angeles R vs Kansas City Pro Football game? | 53.5% | 53.0% | 54.0% | 1.00% | $9k |
| Cleveland Will Cleveland win the Cleveland vs Jacksonville Pro Football game? | 25.5% | 25.0% | 26.0% | 1.00% | $9k |
| New York J Will New York J win the New York J vs Tennessee Pro Football game? | 43.5% | 43.0% | 44.0% | 1.00% | $9k |
| Tennessee Will Tennessee win the New York J vs Tennessee Pro Football game? | 55.0% | 54.0% | 56.0% | 2.00% | $9k |
| Houston Will Houston win the Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game? | 49.0% | 48.0% | 50.0% | 2.00% | $8k |
| Las Vegas Will Las Vegas win the Arizona vs Las Vegas Pro Football game? | 55.5% | 55.0% | 56.0% | 1.00% | $8k |
| Kansas City Will Kansas City win the Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game? | 57.0% | 56.0% | 58.0% | 2.00% | $8k |
| New Orleans Will New Orleans win the Jacksonville vs New Orleans Pro Football game? | 54.5% | 53.0% | 56.0% | 3.00% | $8k |
| New York J Will New York J win the Tampa Bay vs New York J Pro Football game? | 56.5% | 56.0% | 57.0% | 1.00% | $8k |
| Miami Will Miami win the Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game? | 35.5% | 35.0% | 36.0% | 1.00% | $7k |
| Minnesota Will Minnesota win the Green Bay vs Minnesota Pro Football game? | 49.5% | 49.0% | 50.0% | 1.00% | $7k |
| Tampa Bay Will Tampa Bay win the Tampa Bay vs New York J Pro Football game? | 44.5% | 44.0% | 45.0% | 1.00% | $7k |
| Pittsburgh Will Pittsburgh win the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game? | 59.0% | 58.0% | 60.0% | 2.00% | $7k |
| Los Angeles R Will Los Angeles R win the Los Angeles R vs Kansas City Pro Football game? | 46.5% | 46.0% | 47.0% | 1.00% | $7k |
| Cleveland Will Cleveland win the Cleveland vs Chicago Pro Football game? | 50.5% | 50.0% | 51.0% | 1.00% | $7k |
| Jacksonville Will Jacksonville win the Cleveland vs Jacksonville Pro Football game? | 76.0% | 75.0% | 77.0% | 2.00% | $6k |
| Tampa Bay Will Tampa Bay win the Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati Pro Football game? | 35.5% | 34.0% | 37.0% | 3.00% | $6k |
| Minnesota Will Minnesota win the Minnesota vs New York G Pro Football game? | 58.5% | 58.0% | 59.0% | 1.00% | $6k |
| Carolina Will Carolina win the Chicago vs Carolina Pro Football game? | 42.0% | 41.0% | 43.0% | 2.00% | $5k |
| Philadelphia Will Philadelphia win the Washington vs Philadelphia Pro Football game? | 65.5% | 65.0% | 66.0% | 1.00% | $5k |
| Baltimore Will Baltimore win the Philadelphia vs Baltimore Pro Football game? | 45.5% | 45.0% | 46.0% | 1.00% | $5k |
| Washington Will Washington win the Washington vs Philadelphia Pro Football game? | 33.5% | 33.0% | 34.0% | 1.00% | $5k |
| Atlanta Will Atlanta win the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game? | 40.5% | 40.0% | 41.0% | 1.00% | $5k |
| Baltimore Will Baltimore win the Baltimore vs Indianapolis Pro Football game? | 63.5% | 63.0% | 64.0% | 1.00% | $5k |
| Indianapolis Will Indianapolis win the Baltimore vs Indianapolis Pro Football game? | 36.5% | 36.0% | 37.0% | 1.00% | $4k |
Prices are probabilities: a contract settles at $1 if the event happens, so 14% means the market prices it at 14 cents. Contracts marked wide have a bid-ask spread over 5 points, which means the mid is not a price you could actually trade at. Sorted by traded volume, because a thin market at an extreme price is noise rather than signal.
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