Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices, on the same probability
scale as the devigged sportsbook consensus. Each venue publishes its own
prices; the comparison across all three is the part nobody else shows, because
making it honestly means removing the bookmaker’s margin first.
Only venues that run their own order book get a price
column. Coinbase and Robinhood sell these same contracts but route to an
exchange rather than making a market, so their prices are that
exchange’s — they are listed as places to trade, not as separate
opinions.
| Contract | Mid | Bid | Ask | Spread | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Garrett Will Myles Garrett win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 19.5% | 19.0% | 20.0% | 1.00% | $94k |
| Aidan Hutchinson Will Aidan Hutchinson win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 1.00% | $53k |
| Abdul Carter Will Abdul Carter win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 2.00% | $29k |
| Will Anderson Jr. Will Will Anderson Jr. win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 1.00% | $27k |
| Maxx Crosby Will Maxx Crosby win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1.00% | $25k |
| Jeffery Simmons Will Jeffery Simmons win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $23k |
| Trey Hendrickson Will Trey Hendrickson win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $16k |
| Nik Bonitto Will Nik Bonitto win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 2.5% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 3.00% | $15k |
| Nick Bosa Will Nick Bosa win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1.00% | $15k |
| Christian Gonzalez Will Christian Gonzalez win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $14k |
| Jared Verse Will Jared Verse win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 2.0% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 2.00% | $13k |
| Fred Warner Will Fred Warner win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $13k |
| Micah Parsons Will Micah Parsons win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 2.0% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 2.00% | $12k |
| T.J. Watt Will T.J. Watt win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.00% | $12k |
| Dexter Lawrence II Will Dexter Lawrence II win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $11k |
| Kyle Hamilton Will Kyle Hamilton win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $10k |
| Danielle Hunter Will Danielle Hunter win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $9k |
| Quinyon Mitchell Will Quinyon Mitchell win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $8k |
| Jalen Carter Will Jalen Carter win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $8k |
| Devon Witherspoon Will Devon Witherspoon win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $7k |
| Trent McDuffie Will Trent McDuffie win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $5k |
| Josh Sweat Will Josh Sweat win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $5k |
| Pat Surtain Will Pat Surtain win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $4k |
| Derek Stingley Jr. Will Derek Stingley Jr. win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $4k |
| Brian Burns Will Brian Burns win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $3k |
| Zack Baun Will Zack Baun win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $3k |
| Leonard Williams Will Leonard Williams win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $2k |
| Sauce Gardner Will Sauce Gardner win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $2k |
| Josh Hines-Allen Will Josh Hines-Allen win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 1.0% | 0.0% | 2.0% | 2.00% | $1k |
| Jessie Bates III Will Jessie Bates III win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $935 |
| Andrew Van Ginkel Will Andrew Van Ginkel win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $818 |
| Devin Lloyd Will Devin Lloyd win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $760 |
| Quinnen Williams Will Quinnen Williams win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $561 |
| Tie/Co-Winners Will Tie/Co-Winners win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $461 |
| Montez Sweat Will Montez Sweat win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $359 |
| Xavier McKinney Will Xavier McKinney win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $319 |
| Kayvon Thibodeaux Will Kayvon Thibodeaux win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $281 |
| Will McDonald IV Will Will McDonald IV win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $233 |
| Zach Allen Will Zach Allen win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $113 |
| Budda Baker Will Budda Baker win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $95 |
| Chop Robinson Will Chop Robinson win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $94 |
| Travon Walker Will Travon Walker win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $43 |
| Jalen Ramsey Will Jalen Ramsey win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $10 |
| Christian Wilkins Will Christian Wilkins win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $3 |
| Haason Reddick Will Haason Reddick win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $2 |
| Greg Rousseau Will Greg Rousseau win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $1 |
| Ed Oliver Will Ed Oliver win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $1 |
| Rashan Gary Will Rashan Gary win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $0 |
| Nolan Smith Jr. Will Nolan Smith Jr. win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $0 |
| Kerby Joseph Will Kerby Joseph win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $0 |
| Chris Jones Will Chris Jones win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $0 |
| Brian Branch Will Brian Branch win the Defensive Player of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $0 |
Prices are probabilities: a contract settles at $1 if the event happens, so 14% means the market prices it at 14 cents. Contracts marked wide have a bid-ask spread over 5 points, which means the mid is not a price you could actually trade at. Sorted by traded volume, because a thin market at an extreme price is noise rather than signal.
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