Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices, on the same probability
scale as the devigged sportsbook consensus. Each venue publishes its own
prices; the comparison across all three is the part nobody else shows, because
making it honestly means removing the bookmaker’s margin first.
Only venues that run their own order book get a price
column. Coinbase and Robinhood sell these same contracts but route to an
exchange rather than making a market, so their prices are that
exchange’s — they are listed as places to trade, not as separate
opinions.
| Contract | Mid | Bid | Ask | Spread | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Glenn Will Aaron Glenn win the Coach of the Year? | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1.00% | $41k |
| Klint Kubiak Will Klint Kubiak win the Coach of the Year? | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 1.00% | $23k |
| Sean McVay Will Sean McVay win the Coach of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $22k |
| Kellen Moore Will Kellen Moore win the Coach of the Year? | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 1.00% | $20k |
| Kevin O'Connell Will Kevin O'Connell win the Coach of the Year? | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1.00% | $15k |
| Robert Saleh Will Robert Saleh win the Coach of the Year? | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 1.00% | $15k |
| Ben Johnson Will Ben Johnson win the Coach of the Year? | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 1.00% | $15k |
| Todd Monken Will Todd Monken win the Coach of the Year? | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 1.00% | $14k |
| DeMeco Ryans Will DeMeco Ryans win the Coach of the Year? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $13k |
| Andy Reid Will Andy Reid win the Coach of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $12k |
| Mike Macdonald Will Mike Macdonald win the Coach of the Year? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $11k |
| Kyle Shanahan Will Kyle Shanahan win the Coach of the Year? | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.00% | $11k |
| John Harbaugh Will John Harbaugh win the Coach of the Year? | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 1.00% | $9k |
| Brian Schottenheimer Will Brian Schottenheimer win the Coach of the Year? | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1.00% | $8k |
| Mike LaFleur Will Mike LaFleur win the Coach of the Year? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $8k |
| Jim Harbaugh Will Jim Harbaugh win the Coach of the Year? | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 1.00% | $8k |
| Jesse Minter Will Jesse Minter win the Coach of the Year? | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 1.00% | $7k |
| Zac Taylor Will Zac Taylor win the Coach of the Year? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $6k |
| Kevin Stefanski Will Kevin Stefanski win the Coach of the Year? | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.00% | $6k |
| Liam Coen Will Liam Coen win the Coach of the Year? | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.00% | $5k |
| Joe Brady Will Joe Brady win the Coach of the Year? | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.00% | $5k |
| Dan Campbell Will Dan Campbell win the Coach of the Year? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $5k |
| Matt LaFleur Will Matt LaFleur win the Coach of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $5k |
| Mike Vrabel Will Mike Vrabel win the Coach of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $5k |
| Sean Payton Will Sean Payton win the Coach of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $5k |
| Jeff Hafley Will Jeff Hafley win the Coach of the Year? | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.00% | $4k |
| Dan Quinn Will Dan Quinn win the Coach of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $4k |
| Shane Steichen Will Shane Steichen win the Coach of the Year? | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.00% | $4k |
| Dave Canales Will Dave Canales win the Coach of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $3k |
| Mike McCarthy Will Mike McCarthy win the Coach of the Year? | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.00% | $3k |
| Nick Sirianni Will Nick Sirianni win the Coach of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $3k |
| Todd Bowles Will Todd Bowles win the Coach of the Year? | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.00% | $1k |
| Tie/Co-Winners Will Tie/Co-Winners win the Coach of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.00% | $1k |
Prices are probabilities: a contract settles at $1 if the event happens, so 14% means the market prices it at 14 cents. Contracts marked wide have a bid-ask spread over 5 points, which means the mid is not a price you could actually trade at. Sorted by traded volume, because a thin market at an extreme price is noise rather than signal.
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